Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.370690 0.405173 0.441946 0.484167 0.531408 0.582759 0.642961
2025-12-21 0.304321 0.350615 0.403268 0.467937 0.545703 0.636802 0.752476
2025-12-28 0.277773 0.331324 0.394898 0.476641 0.579973 0.707620 0.879382
2026-01-04 0.257441 0.315737 0.387383 0.483032 0.609085 0.771962 1.002393
2026-01-11 0.240249 0.301623 0.379294 0.486377 0.632689 0.829379 1.120415
2026-01-18 0.225477 0.288900 0.371247 0.488056 0.652902 0.882605 1.236826
2026-01-25 0.213775 0.279008 0.365706 0.491949 0.675545 0.940159 1.364616
2026-02-01 0.198935 0.263650 0.351350 0.481898 0.676661 0.965620 1.445283
2026-02-08 0.189362 0.254783 0.345167 0.482699 0.693219 1.014887 1.567997
2026-02-15 0.179400 0.244647 0.336356 0.478692 0.701700 1.051761 1.673677
2026-02-22 0.172051 0.237734 0.331628 0.480232 0.718530 1.102870 1.808747
2026-03-01 0.163294 0.228220 0.322407 0.474046 0.722236 1.132293 1.908221
2026-03-08 0.154792 0.218770 0.312936 0.467130 0.724701 1.160687 2.011072
2026-03-15 0.144947 0.206820 0.299020 0.452211 0.712663 1.162934 2.064941
2026-03-22 0.141474 0.204320 0.299453 0.460489 0.740570 1.238222 2.270667
2026-03-29 0.137762 0.201216 0.298696 0.466625 0.765062 1.309430 2.477775
2026-04-05 0.133675 0.197291 0.296358 0.469831 0.784415 1.372644 2.676753
2026-04-12 0.129541 0.193063 0.293260 0.471441 0.800834 1.431579 2.874633
2026-04-19 0.126105 0.189772 0.291483 0.475173 0.821388 1.500546 3.105332
2026-04-26 0.120326 0.182405 0.282545 0.465537 0.815592 1.515195 3.210405
2026-05-03 0.116848 0.178654 0.279485 0.466305 0.830001 1.573149 3.429081
2026-05-10 0.112754 0.173696 0.274114 0.462463 0.834904 1.611196 3.603681
2026-05-17 0.109826 0.170556 0.271702 0.463940 0.850565 1.674109 3.852650